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Words of Estimative Probability
Results: 7

#	Item
1	VERBAL PROBABILITY EXPRESSIONS IN NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATES: A COMPREHENSIVE ANALYSIS OF TRENDS FROM THE FIFTIES THROUGH POST 9/11 RACHEL F. KESSELMAN Add to Reading List Source URL: web.archive.org Language: English Intelligence analysis Military intelligence Intelligence United States intelligence agencies Words of estimative probability National Intelligence Estimate Sherman Kent Analysis Central Intelligence Agency SAT Analytic confidence
2	BARUCH FISCHHOFF Communicating Uncertainty Fulfilling the Duty to Inform Add to Reading List Source URL: sites.nationalacademies.org Language: English - Date: 2015-02-25 20:39:20 Military intelligence Measurement Statistical inference Decision theory Words of Estimative Probability Uncertainty Intelligence analysis Calibrated probability assessment Utility Statistics Knowledge Intelligence
3	The Iraq Estimate, Prospects for Iraq’s Stability: A Challenging Road Ahead, followed the standard interagency process for pro Add to Reading List Source URL: media.washingtonpost.com Language: English - Date: 2007-02-02 10:32:25 National Intelligence Estimate Iraq War Civil war in Iraq National Intelligence Council Mahdi Army Words of Estimative Probability Iraqi insurgency Asia Politics of Iraq Iraq
4	The Iraq Estimate, Prospects for Iraq’s Stability: A Challenging Road Ahead, followed the standard interagency process for pro Add to Reading List Source URL: www.dni.gov Language: English - Date: 2012-08-13 15:21:41 National Intelligence Estimate Iraq War Civil war in Iraq National Intelligence Council Mahdi Army Words of Estimative Probability Iraqi insurgency Asia Politics of Iraq Iraq
5	Intelligence and National Security, 2014 http://dx.doi.org[removed][removed]ARTICLE Downloaded by [Harvard Library] at 03:03 01 May 2014 Add to Reading List Source URL: www.hks.harvard.edu Language: English - Date: 2014-05-01 11:15:00 Intelligence Military intelligence Statistical theory Words of Estimative Probability Ellsberg paradox Bayesian inference Bayesian probability Probability National Intelligence Estimate Statistics Intelligence analysis Bayesian statistics
6	The Science of Risk Communication Baruch Fischhoff Carnegie Mellon University Department of Social and Decision Sciences Department of Engineering and Public Policy http://www.cmu.edu/dietrich/sds/people/faculty/baruch-f Add to Reading List Source URL: risksummit.gr Language: English - Date: 2014-07-02 04:37:14 Management Military intelligence Intelligence National Intelligence Estimate Sherman Kent Words of Estimative Probability Social and Decision Sciences Risk Engineering and Public Policy Government Intelligence analysis National security
7	Prospects for Iraq’s Stability: A Challenging Road Ahead January 2007 OFFICE OF THE DIRECTOR OF NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE Add to Reading List Source URL: www.progressiveaustin.org Language: English - Date: 2008-04-04 11:36:23 National Intelligence Estimate Iraq War Civil war in Iraq National Intelligence Council Mahdi Army Words of Estimative Probability Iraqi insurgency Asia Politics of Iraq Iraq